Works in progress

TUBITAK 1001 (2024-2025): Predicting crop yields for Turkey’s provinces using long-run agronomic and climatic variables

The two-year project aims to develop crop-yield prediction models Turkey’s provinces. First, I will look into the the temporal and regional trends of major crops using the historical time series data since the 1930s. I will test the yield-plateau thesis, which has been a subject of debate in the literature. Second, I will develop predictive models for crop yields using economic, agronomic and climate variables using spatial econometrics and Machine Learning techniques.

Agglomeration and density in Turkey’s regions: a long-run view

with Güneş Aşık (TOBB-ETU) and Cem Ozguzel (OECD). We look into the elasticity of labor productivity with respect to population density since the mid-20th century in Turkiye.

Credit-induced agricultural growth after the Great Depression in Turkiye

with Marvin Suesse. The origins of rural micro institutions have been the subject of some recent debate in economic history. This study aims to explore how the role of credit cooperatives in the 1930s in Turkiye helped to mitigate the effect of the deflation in the agricultural sector.

Adoption of Better Cotton in Turkey

with Pınar Ceylan and Ayşe Doğrubak. We explore the drivers of the farmers’ adoption of Better Cotton Initiative in Turkey.